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Incumbents have almost unbeatable head start in GTA elections
Thirteen of 14 immigrant and visible-minority candidates in the analysis won their races.
A seat on a municipal council is a stronger predictor of success for immigrant candidates than how much money they raise for their election campaigns, according to an analysis by New Canadian Media and interviews with academics who study electoral dynamics.
With Ontario voters heading to the polls on Oct. 26, NCM reviewed the audited 2022 financial statements of 14 candidates in Toronto, Mississauga and Brampton who have publicly identified as immigrants, the children of immigrants or members of a visible minority. Thirteen won.
NCM counted only candidates who identified themselves as immigrants in an interview, on social media or in an official biography.
Candidates who described themselves as immigrants or the children of immigrants, raised as much and often far more than their rivals in three of the most immigrant-heavy cities in Canada during the 2022 municipal elections. The ones who were already in office had an advantage over new candidates.
More than half of Mississauga's residents (53.2 per cent) and Brampton's (52.9 per cent) were born outside Canada, according to the 2021 census. In Toronto, that number was 46.6 per cent.
Money and office travelled together
Six of the 14 candidates were sitting members, and all six won. Bonnie Crombie raised $505,675 for the Mississauga mayoral race, more than 20 times her nearest rival. In Mississauga's Ward 7, Dipika Damerla raised $40,870, about three times the amount raised by the next closest candidate.
[caption id="attachment_43318" align="alignleft" width="375"] Dipika Damerla. Photo: The Pointer[/caption]
Toronto's Josh Matlow raised $90,668 compared to the $3,425 raised by his closest challenger. In Brampton, Martin Medeiros raised $62,812 against $5,750; and Pat Fortini and Rowena Santos also raised more campaign funds by wide margins. (Matlow is Canadian-born, and his Jewish identity is the only self-identification in our sample.)
The pattern held beyond our sample. In Mississauga, eight of the nine sitting members who ran for office, including the mayor, won.Ron Starr lost Ward 6 to Joe Horneck, 25 per cent to 60 per cent. In Brampton, seven of eight won; regional councillor Gurpreet Dhillon lost Wards 9 and 10 to Gurpartap Singh Toor. In Toronto, Mayor John Tory and 16 sitting councillors won, and Mark Grimes lost Ward 3 to Amber Morley.
[caption id="attachment_43322" align="alignright" width="389"] Rowena Santos. Photo: The Pointer[/caption]
Without an incumbent, money still mattered. In Toronto, Ausma Malik raised $105,944 to win Ward 10, about double that of the next candidate. Alejandra Bravo raised $102,681 in Ward 9 and Chris Moise raised $91,695 in Ward 13. Dianne Saxe won Ward 11 by 123 votes and raised $85,814 compared to the $61,759 raised by her closest rival, Norm Di Pasquale.
Across Toronto and Mississauga, the candidates who were the top fundraisers won 30 of 38 seats.
Where the money lost
In Mississauga Ward 9, Nokha Dakroub raised $37,985, the most in an 11-candidate field — more than twice what the winner, Martin Reid, raised. Still she finished second, 241 votes behind Reid. Alvin Tedjo won Mississauga's Ward 2 but raised less money than Silvia Gualtieri. Lily Cheng won Toronto's Ward 18, but didn’t raise as much for her campaign as Markus O'Brien Fehr.
[caption id="attachment_43321" align="alignleft" width="373"] Martin Medeiros. Photo: The Pointer[/caption]
Damerla, who won Ward 7 with 55 per cent of the vote, is now running for mayor and proposes term limits for the mayor and councillors.
"It's time for fresh ideas and letting somebody else come in," she told NCM. She said a three-term ceiling could open the door to new candidates, though a change like that would have to fit Ontario's legislative framework.
What the experts say
Erin Tolley, a Carleton University professor who studies diversity in Canadian politics, said incumbency is the biggest edge in municipal politics.
"Incumbency is by far the greatest advantage in municipal politics — there's no bigger advantage," she said. Name recognition, a track record on city council and relationships with voters is clearly valuable.
A 2024 study by the Association of Municipalities of Ontario reached a similar conclusion. Based on interviews and surveys with candidates and people considering municipal office, researchers found that many candidates had their first electoral success after an incumbent stepped down.
Some candidates also reported difficulty raising money to compete against sitting councillors. They said potential donors were reluctant to support a challenger because their contributions would become public, and they worried that if the incumbent won, the councillor might be less willing to help them in the future.
Randy Besco, a University of Toronto Mississauga political scientist, co-authored a 2022 study that found visible minorities donate less money on average to federal party candidates; South Asian donors were an exception.
Besco said the results didn't surprise him. "There are lots of very successful immigrants. It doesn't surprise me that some of them are very proficient fundraisers."
He said he has not tested whether the donor findings hold for municipal elections.
Besco cautioned against reading the incumbent's fundraising success as proof of an incumbency effect. Incumbents find it easier to raise money, he said, but "it's possible that it's kind of a selection effect." Candidates who can raise money are the ones who win. He said he doesn’t know which factor is greater.
Besco said immigrant candidates usually run for municipal council in the community where they live, and that wards with many immigrants are easier places for them to run because they might have community networks.
Sukhman Sangha, a lawyer running for an open regional council seat in Brampton's Wards 9 and 10, said money is not the first thing he would tell a new candidate to focus on.
Sangha said he was born in the riding and is the son of Punjabi immigrants. Nine other candidates are running for seats and only one other lives in the riding.
“The biggest obstacle for a first-time candidate in Peel is not knowing how to run a campaign,” Sangha said. He recommends that new candidates first work on someone else's campaign to gain experience in the municipal election system.
Sangha said his previous work as a senior advisor to Ontario's Minister of Transportation taught him how to navigate government. Whether he raised more than his rivals will not be public until the filing deadline in March.
Copyright 2026, New Canadian Media. All rights reserved.
Shilpashree Jagannathan, Local Journalism Initiative Reporter, New Canadian Media.
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Quebec Superior Court hears arguments to suspend Montreal bylaw banning insults
Court hears Montreal bylaw injunction request
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Christinne Muschi
Lawyers are asking Quebec Superior Court to suspend a recently-adopted bylaw banning insults against employees of the city of Montreal, including police officers.
The bylaw prohibits insults, harassment, threats, abuse and intimidation, as well as offensive and aggressive behaviour.
Justice Eleni Yiannakis heard arguments from lawyers representing an association for progressive jurists and the St-Michel legal clinic Thursday morning.
Lawyer Sibel Ataogul argued the bylaw is too broad and encroaches on fundamental freedoms, including the freedom of expression, and is against public interest.
Lawyer Dardia Garcelle Joseph argued that the bylaw will mainly apply to interactions with police and can lead to serious harm to those already marginalized.
Lawyers for the City of Montreal are expected to argue in the afternoon.
Yiannakis stressed that she will rule only on the request for the injunction and not on the constitutionality of the bylaw.
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 22, 2026.
By Erika Morris | Copyright 2026, The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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Korchinski-Paquet's mother makes new allegation against police at coroner's inquest
Korchinski-Paquet inquest grapples with new claim
THE CANADIAN PRESS/Chris Young
A coroner's inquest into the death of Regis Korchinski-Paquet is scrambling to find a way forward after the Toronto woman's mother unexpectedly made a new allegation against police officers during her testimony this morning.
Korchinski-Paquet fell from her 24th-floor balcony in the late afternoon of May 27, 2020, while police officers were in the west-end apartment she shared with several family members.
As she described her memories of that day, Claudette Beals told the inquest this morning that she saw officers push her daughter toward the balcony, prompting lawyers for several of the parties to raise concerns in the absence of the jury about previously undisclosed evidence.
Among them were lawyers representing the officers at the scene, who said their clients weren't given a chance to respond to the allegation when they testified earlier this week.
The presiding coroner has called a recess so that counsel can discuss how to proceed.
The inquest has heard Korchinski-Paquet had a history of seizures from epilepsy, often followed by erratic and aggressive behaviour, and had experienced two seizures earlier in the day before police were called over a disturbance involving knives.
One of the province's police watchdogs later cleared the officers of wrongdoing in the fatal fall, which it said happened as she was trying to move from her apartment's balcony to a neighbour's.
The inquest's scope includes how first responders are informed and trained about epilepsy but is not meant to examine the various watchdog investigations into the case.
"There's lots of good things to explore about epilepsy, about public support for families, about awareness of postictal delirium, about police response and how those two can intermingle," presiding coroner Dr. David Cameron said before the recess.
"We've explored lots of great things during this inquest and everyone has worked really well together ... and now we've got a bit of a problem and we'll have to work through it."
This report by The Canadian Press was first published Oct. 22, 2026.
Copyright 2026, The Canadian Press. All rights reserved.
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Des blagues sur les dénonciations font réagir au gala Les Olivier et Radio-Canada répond
Le dimanche 21 mars avait lieu le gala Les Olivier sur les ondes de Radio-Canada. Lors de cet événement qui célèbre le milieu de l'humour, des blagues concernant la vague de dénonciations d'inconduites et d'agressions sexuelles au sein du vedettariat québécois ont fait réagir sur les réseaux sociaux.
Sur Facebook, le commentaire d'un téléspectateur sur le sujet a même retenu l'attention de Radio-Canada, qui y a répondu.
La sélection de l'éditeur : 7 couples québécois qui sont en amour à l'écran comme dans la vraie vie
Les blagues en lien avec les dénonciations de l’été 2020
Au cours de la soirée dédiée aux humoristes québécois, quelques artistes ont fait référence à la vague de dénonciations qui a eu lieu en juillet et août 2020.
Dès le numéro d'ouverture, François Bellefeuille a mentionné la carrière de Julien Lacroix, alors qu'il a cessé ses activités après des allégations, ainsi que le retour de Maripier Morin à l'écran dans La Faille 2 et en tête d’affiche du nouveau film de Mariloup Wolfe.
Rosalie Vaillancourt, de son côté, s'est moquée du fait que la salle ne comptait qu'un nombre limité d'artistes et de spectateurs dû aux consignes de distanciation, en soulevant à la blague qu'elle ne pensait pas qu'autant de personnes du milieu avaient été dénoncées.
La réaction du public
Sur Twitter, le journaliste Hugo Dumas a cité la flèche de François Bellefeuille concernant Maripier Morin ainsi que la blague de Rosalie Vaillancourt.
Au moment de publier ces lignes, le tweet à propos de Maripier Morin cumule près de 300 likes et celui concernant Rosalie plus de 650.
Cela dit, sur la page Facebook de Radio-Canada, un commentaire mentionne avoir l'impression que les participants du gala s'acharnaient sur Julien Lacroix suite aux propos à son égard.
Le gestionnaire dudit compte Facebook a donc répondu publiquement à l'auteur du commentaire.
[rebelmouse-image 26010941 photo_credit="Radio-Canada | Facebook" expand=1 original_size="1170x230"] Radio-Canada | Facebook
La réponse de Radio-Canada face à Julien Lacroix
[rebelmouse-image 26010942 photo_credit="Radio-Canada | Facebook" expand=1 original_size="1178x558"] Radio-Canada | Facebook
Le 27 juillet 2020, un article paru dans Le Devoir a dévoilé que Julien Lacroix était visé par plusieurs allégations entourant des inconduites sexuelles.
Par la suite, l'agence de Julien a rompu ses liens avec celui-ci et l'humoriste a quitté les réseaux sociaux après s'être exprimé à deux reprises au sujet de la controverse.
Cinq mois plus tard, il a présenté une lettre d'excuses en janvier 2021 sur ses réseaux sociaux afin de parler de son processus thérapeutique, ce qui a suscité plusieurs réactions de la part des gens qui l'ont côtoyé.
Radio-Canada a donc répondu au commentaire en ajoutant le lien vers l'article parlant des neuf femmes qui l'ont dénoncé :
« On peut comprendre qu'un milieu veuille se distancier de cette personne. »
[rebelmouse-image 26010943 photo_credit="Radio-Canada | Facebook" expand=1 original_size="1064x522"] Radio-Canada | Facebook
Un internaute a ensuite répondu que ce n'était peut-être pas le moment de faire des blagues de la sorte, ce à quoi le diffuseur a répliqué que les humoristes « n'ont [actuellement] pas tant de tribunes aussi larges que ça » pour le faire.